Southeast Asia Onshore Wind Set for 300% Surge by 2030: Rystad Energy - saurenergy.asia
Published November 24, 2025
Southeast Asia's Onshore Wind Capacity Expected to Increase by 300% by 2030, According to Rystad Energy
Rystad Energy has released a report indicating that Southeast Asia's onshore wind energy capacity is poised to experience a remarkable surge, projected to grow by 300% by the year 2030. This significant increase is attributed to the region's growing commitment to renewable energy sources and the implementation of supportive policies aimed at reducing carbon emissions.
As of 2022, Southeast Asia's total onshore wind capacity stood at approximately 5.5 gigawatts (GW). By 2030, Rystad Energy forecasts that this capacity will expand to around 22 GW. This growth trajectory is expected to be fueled by investments in wind projects across various countries in the region, including Vietnam, Thailand, and the Philippines, where favorable wind conditions and government incentives are attracting developers.
Country-Specific Insights
Vietnam is anticipated to lead the charge in onshore wind development in Southeast Asia. The country is projected to increase its installed capacity from 1.6 GW in 2022 to an impressive 10 GW by 2030. This growth is supported by the Vietnamese government’s commitment to renewable energy, including the introduction of feed-in tariffs and streamlined permitting processes for wind projects.
Thailand is also expected to make significant strides in onshore wind capacity. The country is forecasted to grow its capacity from 1.2 GW in 2022 to around 3.5 GW by 2030. The Thai government has been actively promoting renewable energy through various initiatives, including the Power Development Plan, which emphasizes the importance of wind energy in achieving national energy security.
The Philippines, meanwhile, is projected to increase its onshore wind capacity from 1.1 GW in 2022 to approximately 2.5 GW by 2030. The Philippine government has introduced policies to encourage investments in renewable energy, such as the Renewable Energy Act, which aims to provide a framework for the development of wind energy projects.
Market Dynamics and Drivers
The anticipated growth in onshore wind capacity in Southeast Asia is driven by several key factors. First, the region's increasing energy demand, fueled by economic growth and urbanization, necessitates the development of sustainable energy sources. Second, the declining costs of wind energy technology have made onshore wind projects more economically viable, further encouraging investment.
Additionally, the commitment of Southeast Asian governments to meet international climate targets, such as those outlined in the Paris Agreement, is prompting a shift towards renewable energy. Many countries in the region are setting ambitious targets for renewable energy generation, which is further incentivizing the development of onshore wind projects.
Challenges and Considerations
While the outlook for onshore wind energy in Southeast Asia appears promising, several challenges must be addressed to realize this potential. One of the primary obstacles is the need for improved grid infrastructure to accommodate the increased capacity of renewable energy sources. Many countries in the region face aging grid systems that require upgrades to handle the influx of wind energy.
Furthermore, securing financing for large-scale wind projects can be challenging, particularly in developing countries where access to capital may be limited. Governments and private investors will need to collaborate to create favorable financing conditions that support the growth of the onshore wind sector.
Environmental and social considerations also play a crucial role in the development of wind projects. Engaging local communities and ensuring that projects are developed sustainably will be essential for gaining public support and minimizing potential conflicts.
Conclusion
The forecasted 300% increase in Southeast Asia's onshore wind capacity by 2030 underscores the region's commitment to transitioning towards renewable energy sources. With countries like Vietnam, Thailand, and the Philippines leading the way, the onshore wind sector is set to become a significant contributor to the region's energy mix.
As governments continue to implement supportive policies and address the challenges associated with wind energy development, Southeast Asia is well-positioned to harness its wind resources effectively. The successful expansion of onshore wind capacity will not only help meet growing energy demands but also contribute to the region's sustainability goals and efforts to combat climate change.
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