Southeast Asia’s onshore wind capacity set to reach 26 GW by 2030 - Rystad Energy
Published November 22, 2025
Southeast Asia’s Onshore Wind Capacity Projected to Reach 26 GW by 2030
According to a recent report by Rystad Energy, Southeast Asia's onshore wind power capacity is expected to expand significantly, reaching an estimated 26 gigawatts (GW) by the year 2030. This growth is attributed to a combination of favorable government policies, technological advancements, and increased investment in renewable energy sources across the region.
The report highlights that the current onshore wind capacity in Southeast Asia stands at approximately 2.5 GW. This indicates a substantial increase of over tenfold in the coming years. Countries such as Vietnam, Thailand, and the Philippines are driving this expansion, with Vietnam alone projected to contribute nearly 20 GW by 2030.
Current Landscape of Wind Energy in Southeast Asia
As of now, Vietnam leads the region with the highest installed onshore wind capacity, totaling around 1.6 GW. The country has implemented various incentives to promote wind energy, including feed-in tariffs and streamlined permitting processes. These measures have attracted both domestic and international investors, significantly boosting the wind energy sector.
Thailand follows with an installed capacity of around 0.5 GW. The Thai government has set ambitious renewable energy targets, aiming for 20% of its total energy generation to come from renewable sources by 2036. This includes a commitment to increase wind energy capacity, further facilitating growth in the sector.
The Philippines has also made strides in wind energy development, with an installed capacity of approximately 0.4 GW. The country has a robust pipeline of projects in various stages of development, which is expected to contribute to the overall growth of the region's wind energy capacity.
Investment Trends and Future Projections
Rystad Energy's analysis indicates that investments in onshore wind projects in Southeast Asia are expected to reach $25 billion by 2030. This influx of capital will be crucial for the construction of new wind farms and the enhancement of existing facilities. The report notes that the region's wind energy market is becoming increasingly attractive to investors due to the declining costs of wind technology and the growing demand for clean energy solutions.
In addition to financial investments, technological advancements are playing a pivotal role in the expansion of onshore wind capacity. The development of larger and more efficient wind turbines has significantly increased energy generation potential. These advancements enable projects to be more economically viable, further encouraging investment in the sector.
Government Policies and Support
Government policies are a critical factor in the growth of Southeast Asia's wind energy sector. Countries are implementing various strategies to promote the adoption of renewable energy, with wind power being a key focus. For instance, Vietnam's government has established a national wind power development plan, which outlines specific targets and incentives to encourage investment in the sector.
Similarly, Thailand's Power Development Plan aims to increase the share of renewable energy in the country's energy mix. The government has also introduced measures such as power purchase agreements to facilitate the growth of wind energy projects.
The Philippines has enacted the Renewable Energy Act, which aims to promote the development of renewable energy resources, including wind. The law provides various incentives for investors, such as tax holidays and guaranteed grid access, making the wind energy sector more attractive for investment.
Challenges Facing the Wind Energy Sector
Despite the promising outlook for onshore wind capacity in Southeast Asia, several challenges remain. One of the primary hurdles is the need for improved grid infrastructure to accommodate the increasing share of renewable energy. Many countries in the region face issues related to grid stability and capacity, which can hinder the integration of new wind projects.
Additionally, regulatory and permitting processes can be time-consuming and complex, potentially delaying project development. Streamlining these processes will be essential to ensure that the projected growth in wind capacity can be realized within the desired timeframe.
Another challenge is the competition from other renewable energy sources, particularly solar power. While wind energy has significant potential, solar energy is often seen as a more accessible and rapidly deployable option, which may divert investment away from wind projects.
Conclusion
In summary, Southeast Asia's onshore wind capacity is on track to reach 26 GW by 2030, driven by strong government support, increasing investments, and technological advancements. While the region faces challenges in terms of grid infrastructure and regulatory processes, the overall outlook for wind energy remains positive. As countries continue to prioritize renewable energy development, onshore wind will play a crucial role in meeting future energy demands and achieving sustainability goals.
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