The sun is setting on Southeast Asia’s solar exporters - Lowy Institute
Published December 02, 2025
The Decline of Solar Exporters in Southeast Asia
In recent years, Southeast Asia has emerged as a significant player in the global solar energy market. Countries in the region have invested heavily in solar technology, positioning themselves as key exporters of solar panels and related equipment. However, recent developments indicate that this trend may be shifting. The dynamics of the solar export market in Southeast Asia are changing, and the outlook for these exporters is becoming increasingly uncertain.
Market Overview
The solar energy sector in Southeast Asia has seen remarkable growth, driven by a combination of government policies, international investments, and increasing demand for renewable energy solutions. Countries such as Malaysia, Vietnam, and Thailand have established themselves as major manufacturing hubs for solar panels, benefiting from their strategic locations and relatively low labor costs.
According to industry reports, the total installed solar capacity in Southeast Asia reached approximately 20 gigawatts (GW) by the end of 2020, with projections suggesting that this figure could double by 2025. The region's solar exports have also been on the rise, with Malaysia alone accounting for about 10% of the global solar panel supply. Vietnam has followed suit, rapidly expanding its solar manufacturing capabilities and attracting foreign investments.
Challenges Facing Solar Exporters
Despite the positive growth trajectory, several challenges are beginning to threaten the sustainability of solar exporters in Southeast Asia. One of the primary concerns is the increasing competition from other regions, particularly China, which dominates the global solar supply chain. Chinese manufacturers benefit from economies of scale and government support, allowing them to offer lower prices that are difficult for Southeast Asian exporters to match.
Additionally, the imposition of tariffs and trade barriers by various countries, including the United States and the European Union, has created further hurdles for Southeast Asian solar exporters. These measures have made it more challenging for these countries to compete in key markets, as higher costs associated with tariffs can lead to reduced demand for their products.
Impact of Supply Chain Disruptions
The COVID-19 pandemic has exacerbated the challenges faced by solar exporters in Southeast Asia. Supply chain disruptions caused by lockdowns and restrictions have led to delays in production and shipping, impacting the ability of these countries to fulfill international orders. As a result, many manufacturers have faced significant financial strain, leading to layoffs and reduced investment in new technologies.
Moreover, the global semiconductor shortage has affected a wide range of industries, including solar manufacturing. The reliance on advanced technologies and components has made it increasingly difficult for Southeast Asian exporters to maintain their production levels, further hindering their competitiveness in the global market.
Policy Responses and Adaptations
In response to these challenges, several Southeast Asian governments are taking steps to support their solar industries. Initiatives aimed at enhancing domestic production capabilities, investing in research and development, and promoting innovation are being implemented to help local manufacturers adapt to the changing market landscape.
For instance, Malaysia has introduced programs to encourage the adoption of advanced manufacturing techniques and to foster collaboration between industry players and research institutions. Similarly, Vietnam is focusing on attracting foreign direct investment in renewable energy technologies, aiming to bolster its position as a leading solar exporter.
Future Outlook
The future of solar exporters in Southeast Asia remains uncertain, as the industry grapples with both external and internal challenges. While the region has the potential to continue growing its solar capacity and export capabilities, the competition from other countries, particularly China, poses a significant threat.
Furthermore, the ongoing geopolitical tensions and trade disputes may lead to further disruptions in the global supply chain, making it imperative for Southeast Asian exporters to diversify their markets and explore new opportunities for growth.
As the world increasingly shifts towards renewable energy sources, the importance of solar power will continue to rise. Southeast Asian countries must navigate the complexities of the global market while ensuring that they remain competitive in the face of evolving challenges. The ability to innovate and adapt will be crucial for the long-term sustainability of solar exporters in the region.
Conclusion
In conclusion, while Southeast Asia has established itself as a notable player in the solar export market, the challenges it faces cannot be overlooked. The combination of fierce competition, supply chain disruptions, and changing trade dynamics poses significant risks to the future of solar exporters in the region. As governments and industry stakeholders work to address these challenges, the path forward will require strategic planning and collaboration to ensure continued growth and success in the renewable energy sector.
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