Rising coal demand overshadows Southeast Asia's transition to renewable energy - MSN
Published January 24, 2026
Rising Coal Demand Overshadows Southeast Asia's Transition to Renewable Energy
Southeast Asia is experiencing a notable increase in coal demand, which is significantly impacting the region's efforts to transition toward renewable energy sources. Despite international commitments to reduce carbon emissions and enhance sustainability, the reliance on coal remains prevalent in several Southeast Asian countries, complicating the path toward a greener energy future.
According to recent data from the International Energy Agency (IEA), coal consumption in Southeast Asia is projected to rise by 25% between 2020 and 2025. This surge is primarily driven by the growing energy needs of the region's rapidly expanding economies, which are heavily dependent on coal for electricity generation. The IEA's report highlights that countries such as Indonesia, Vietnam, and the Philippines are at the forefront of this trend, with coal-fired power plants being a primary source of energy production.
Indonesia, the largest coal producer in Southeast Asia, is set to increase its coal production to meet both domestic and international demands. The country's coal exports are expected to rise, particularly to markets in China and India, where coal remains a dominant energy source. In 2021, Indonesia exported approximately 440 million tons of coal, a figure that is anticipated to grow as demand continues to soar.
In Vietnam, the government has outlined plans to construct additional coal-fired power plants to support its economic growth. The country aims to increase its coal capacity to 75 gigawatts (GW) by 2030, significantly contributing to the anticipated rise in coal consumption. Despite ongoing discussions about renewable energy investments, the Vietnamese government has indicated that coal will remain a critical component of its energy mix for the foreseeable future.
The Philippines is also witnessing a similar trend, with coal accounting for more than half of its electricity generation. The country has been investing in new coal plants, despite the global shift toward cleaner energy sources. The Department of Energy in the Philippines reported that as of 2021, there were 28 coal-fired power plants in various stages of development, which are expected to add around 12 GW of capacity by 2025.
While the demand for coal continues to rise, Southeast Asian nations are facing increasing pressure from international organizations and climate advocates to accelerate their transition to renewable energy. The Paris Agreement, which aims to limit global warming to well below 2 degrees Celsius, has prompted countries to reassess their energy strategies. However, the pace of change has been slow, primarily due to economic considerations and energy security concerns.
The Asian Development Bank (ADB) has projected that Southeast Asia will need to invest approximately $1.7 trillion in renewable energy infrastructure by 2030 to meet its energy needs sustainably. This investment is crucial for reducing reliance on fossil fuels and achieving long-term energy security. However, the region's continued investment in coal complicates these efforts, as funds that could be directed toward renewable projects are often allocated to coal development instead.
Renewable energy sources, such as solar and wind, have gained traction in Southeast Asia, but they still represent a small fraction of the overall energy mix. For instance, as of 2021, solar power accounted for just 4% of the total electricity generation in the region, while wind energy contributed about 1%. The potential for growth in these sectors is significant, with abundant natural resources available for harnessing renewable energy. However, the transition is hindered by various challenges, including regulatory barriers, inadequate infrastructure, and the need for technological advancements.
Additionally, the COVID-19 pandemic has further complicated the energy landscape in Southeast Asia. The economic downturn resulted in a temporary decline in energy demand, but as economies recover, the demand for coal is expected to rebound. This resurgence raises concerns about the region's ability to shift toward cleaner energy sources in a timely manner.
Despite these challenges, several Southeast Asian countries are taking steps to diversify their energy portfolios and reduce their dependence on coal. For example, Thailand has set an ambitious target of generating 50% of its electricity from renewable sources by 2036. The government is actively promoting solar and wind energy projects, as well as investing in energy storage technologies to enhance grid reliability.
Malaysia is also making progress in its renewable energy transition, with the government aiming to achieve 20% of its energy generation from renewable sources by 2025. Initiatives such as the Green Technology Master Plan and the Renewable Energy Act are designed to facilitate investment in solar, biomass, and hydropower projects.
In addition to national efforts, regional cooperation is essential for advancing renewable energy initiatives in Southeast Asia. The ASEAN Plan of Action for Energy Cooperation outlines strategies for promoting energy efficiency, renewable energy, and regional energy integration. Collaborative projects, such as cross-border electricity trading and shared renewable energy resources, can help countries optimize their energy systems and reduce reliance on coal.
As Southeast Asia grapples with the dual challenge of rising coal demand and the need for renewable energy transition, the path forward remains complex. The region's energy landscape is shaped by a multitude of factors, including economic growth, energy security, and international commitments to combat climate change. While the demand for coal continues to overshadow renewable energy efforts, the potential for a sustainable energy future in Southeast Asia exists, provided that concerted actions are taken to address the underlying challenges.
In conclusion, the rise in coal demand in Southeast Asia poses significant challenges to the region's transition to renewable energy. While countries are making strides toward diversifying their energy sources, the reliance on coal remains a critical barrier. To achieve a sustainable energy future, Southeast Asian nations must prioritize investments in renewable energy infrastructure, enhance regional cooperation, and implement policies that support the transition away from fossil fuels.
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