The Price of Power: The Political Economy of Electricity Trade and Hydropower in Eastern South Asia - The Asia Foundation

The Price of Power: The Political Economy of Electricity Trade and Hydropower in Eastern South Asia - The Asia Foundation

Published February 03, 2026

The Price of Power: The Political Economy of Electricity Trade and Hydropower in Eastern South Asia

The Asia Foundation has released a comprehensive report titled "The Price of Power: The Political Economy of Electricity Trade and Hydropower in Eastern South Asia," which delves into the intricate dynamics of electricity trade and hydropower generation within the region. This report underscores the significance of electricity as a vital resource that is pivotal to economic growth and social development in Eastern South Asia, particularly in countries such as Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, and Nepal.

The report highlights the growing interdependence among these nations regarding energy resources, emphasizing the potential benefits of regional cooperation in the electricity sector. With a focus on hydropower, the study outlines how this renewable energy source can play a crucial role in meeting the increasing energy demands of the region while also addressing the challenges of climate change.

Electricity Trade Dynamics

Electricity trade in Eastern South Asia is characterized by a complex web of agreements, policies, and infrastructure that facilitate cross-border energy exchanges. The report notes that the region has made significant strides in enhancing electricity trade, particularly through initiatives such as the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) and the Bangladesh-Bhutan-India-Nepal (BBIN) initiative. These frameworks aim to foster collaboration among member states to optimize energy resources and enhance energy security.

One of the key findings of the report is the potential for increased electricity trade to contribute to economic growth. By enabling countries to share surplus energy, the region can reduce reliance on fossil fuels, lower greenhouse gas emissions, and promote sustainable development. The report provides data indicating that electricity trade has the potential to create significant economic value, with estimates suggesting that increased regional cooperation could lead to a GDP increase of up to 2.5% in some countries.

Hydropower Potential

Hydropower stands out as a significant renewable energy resource in Eastern South Asia, with vast untapped potential across the region. The report details the hydropower capacity in countries such as Bhutan, which has an estimated potential of over 30,000 megawatts (MW), and Nepal, with a potential of around 83,000 MW. These figures highlight the immense opportunity for harnessing hydropower to meet domestic energy needs and export surplus electricity to neighboring countries.

The Asia Foundation’s report emphasizes that the development of hydropower projects must be approached with careful planning and consideration of environmental and social impacts. The report outlines the importance of stakeholder engagement and transparent governance in ensuring that hydropower projects are developed sustainably and equitably. This is particularly relevant in light of the potential displacement of communities and environmental degradation associated with large-scale hydropower projects.

Challenges to Electricity Trade and Hydropower Development

Despite the promising prospects for electricity trade and hydropower development in Eastern South Asia, the report identifies several challenges that must be addressed to realize this potential. Among these challenges are regulatory barriers, inadequate infrastructure, and political tensions among countries in the region.

The report highlights that inconsistent regulatory frameworks across borders can hinder electricity trade. Each country has its own set of policies and regulations governing energy production and trade, which can create obstacles for cross-border transactions. The Asia Foundation calls for harmonization of regulations and policies to facilitate smoother electricity trade and to build investor confidence in the region.

Infrastructure is another critical factor impacting electricity trade. Many countries in Eastern South Asia face challenges related to aging and inadequate transmission networks. The report notes that significant investments are needed to upgrade and expand transmission infrastructure to support increased electricity trade. This includes not only physical infrastructure but also the development of smart grid technologies that can enhance the efficiency and reliability of electricity distribution.

Political Considerations

The political landscape in Eastern South Asia adds another layer of complexity to electricity trade and hydropower development. The report discusses how geopolitical tensions can impact energy cooperation among countries. For instance, historical rivalries and current political disputes can create uncertainty around energy agreements and investments. The Asia Foundation emphasizes the need for diplomatic engagement and dialogue to build trust among nations and foster a collaborative approach to energy security.

Additionally, the report points out that national priorities and energy policies can vary significantly among countries, influenced by domestic political considerations. This can lead to differing levels of commitment to regional energy cooperation. The Asia Foundation advocates for a collective vision that aligns national interests with regional goals, promoting a sense of shared responsibility for energy security and sustainable development.

Recommendations for Enhancing Electricity Trade and Hydropower Development

In light of the challenges identified, the report offers several recommendations aimed at enhancing electricity trade and hydropower development in Eastern South Asia. These recommendations include:

  • Strengthening Regional Cooperation: The report calls for enhanced collaboration among countries to develop a cohesive regional energy strategy that prioritizes electricity trade and hydropower development.
  • Harmonizing Regulatory Frameworks: It is essential to establish common regulatory standards and policies that facilitate cross-border electricity trade and attract investment in hydropower projects.
  • Investing in Infrastructure: Significant investment is needed to upgrade and expand transmission networks, ensuring that they can accommodate increased electricity trade and support renewable energy integration.
  • Promoting Stakeholder Engagement: Ensuring that local communities and stakeholders are actively engaged in the planning and implementation of hydropower projects is crucial for achieving sustainable and equitable outcomes.
  • Enhancing Political Dialogue: Ongoing diplomatic efforts are necessary to address geopolitical tensions and build trust among nations, fostering a collaborative environment for energy cooperation.

Conclusion

The Asia Foundation's report, "The Price of Power: The Political Economy of Electricity Trade and Hydropower in Eastern South Asia," provides valuable insights into the opportunities and challenges facing the region's electricity sector. By fostering regional cooperation, harmonizing regulations, investing in infrastructure, and engaging stakeholders, Eastern South Asia can unlock the potential of electricity trade and hydropower to drive sustainable economic growth and development.

The findings of this report serve as a crucial resource for policymakers, energy stakeholders, and regional organizations as they work towards a more integrated and sustainable energy future in Eastern South Asia.

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